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Global Warming "Forecast" Calls for More Flooding and Illness

November 29, 2006

There's trouble in the forecast for New York if global warming continues to progress at its present pace, according to a report released today. David Gahl with Environmental Advocates of New York says if New York fails to reduce global warming pollutants, more New Yorkers will face asthma attacks and Manhattan will fall victim to 100-year-sized floods every five years by 2080.

"To really avoid some of the worst effects that are described in this report, including the more frequent and destructive floods, ill health affects, and extreme heat in urban areas, we need to reduce our emissions by up to 85 percent."

The "Forecast for New York" report recommends that New York follow California's lead and set specific emissions limits for each sector of the state's economy.

Governor-elect Spitzer declared global warming to be his top environmental priority, but Gahl believes Spitzer will need to act soon.

New York set a goal to be 5 percent below 1990 levels, but as of 2005, we are 7 percent above 1990 levels. Certainly there's much more to do.

New York emits the 8th largest amount of carbon dioxide in the U.S., leading Gahl to say the Empire State would do well to follow California's approach to curbing those emissions.

The biggest distinction is that California has an economy-wide reduction target and New York should set a similar goal with individual targets for each sector of the economy.

Report available on the web at

Michael Clifford/Eric Mack, Public News Service - NY