SHERIDAN, Wyo. – A new tax in South Korea is big news for Powder River Basin coal. Korea is one of the largest export markets for Wyoming coal, and Clark Williams-Derry, deputy director at the Sightline Institute, describes the tax as hefty.
He says it ranges between $16 and $18 per metric ton for coal that sells for about $14 per metric ton at the mining site – and on top of that, the coal market is seeing current prices drop to levels of four to five years ago.
"And it's really for hard for U.S. producers to make a profit selling into Asia in today's market," says Williams-Derry. "Announcements like this from South Korea are just going to make things that much more uncertain."
The Sightline Institute analyzes policies related to sustainability. According to Williams-Derry, Korea has been up-front about trying to reduce coal imports, and a tax can be an effective way to force change.
Coal companies have been pushing for more export terminals on the West Coast to get Powder River Basin coal to Asian markets. However, while U.S. coal use is usually related to electricity generation, he notes that isn't always case in South Korea.
"And not just in power plants, but also in domestic use. There are many places in Korea where coal is used for cooking and home-heating," he explains. "And for health reasons, they're trying to push some of that that to propane or kerosene, or some other kind of fuel."
He adds that while many assume China is a top destination for Powder River Basin coal, South Korea is actually the top market because the shipping route is shorter.
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As state budget negotiations continue, groups fighting climate change are asking California lawmakers to cut subsidies for oil and gas companies rather than slash programs designed to slow global warming.
Gov. Gavin Newsom's current proposal would cut oil and gas tax breaks by $22 million this year and $17 million the following year.
Barry Vesser, COO for The Climate Center, a nonprofit advocacy group, would like to see all subsidies eliminated.
"Oil and gas companies are one of the drivers of climate change, so we should not be making their profit margins bigger by providing public subsidies, and making it harder for renewables to compete against them," Vesser argued.
Gov. Newsom has also proposed to cut funding for climate-friendly programs helping lower-income families buy an electric vehicle or switch from gas to electric appliances.
Kevin Slagle, vice president of strategic communications for the Western States Petroleum Association, said in a statement, "California's already tough business climate is pushing companies to the brink. Removing incentives will drive California straight into the arms of more expensive foreign oil, ramping up costs for everyday Californians who can least afford it."
Vesser countered the threat of higher gas prices is a red herring.
"There's a lot that goes into calculating how much the cost of gas is, and this is not even pennies on the dollar," Vesser contended.
The state Senate's early action proposal estimated the budget deficit will be between $38 billion and $53 billion. The governor is expected to release new details on his budget priorities in mid-May. The Legislature must pass a balanced budget by June 15.
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The New York HEAT Act might not make the final budget.
The bill reduces the state's reliance on natural gas and cuts ratepayer costs by eliminating certain rules. It was in both legislative chambers' one-house budgets, but last-minute scrambling could remove it.
New York League of Conservation Voters Policy Director Patrick McClellan said, aside from people's preference for natural gas, other challenges have made the bill hard to pass.
"I think that there has also been some irresponsible fear-mongering against this bill from some people who oppose it," said McClellan, "basically telling people this means that their natural gas service is going to be taken away from them tomorrow, or it's going to happen without warning, and that's just not the case."
The bill would not mean gas companies could walk away from providing service to new customers, since its effects occur over a longer period.
Rural lawmakers have been skeptical about relying solely on electricity, since people could lose power in bad storms.
If the bill isn't part of the budget, McClellan said the Public Service Commission can do more to require gas utilities factor climate change into their long-term plans.
It will take more than one bill for New York State to reach its climate goals.
McClellan said developing thermal energy networks is one way to build on what the HEAT Act would do, and provide good ways to decarbonize on a larger scale instead of going house by house.
"You're able to get a larger number of buildings and people all at once," McClellan explained. "The other exciting thing about thermal energy networks is, because you are talking fundamentally about piping systems that are underground, it's an extremely similar skill set for people who already work in the fossil fuel industry."
The bill would also eliminate the Hundred Foot Rule. This requires utilities to connect new customers to a gas line for free based on their distance to an existing main gas line, typically 100 feet.
This rule allowed utilities to shift around $1 billion in costs onto about 170,000 ratepayers.
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Virginia's General Assembly will consider budget amendments to reenter the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, known as RGGI.
Gov. Glenn Youngkin pulled the state out of RGGI at the end of 2023, and now experts said the holes in the budget left by RGGI funding going away are not being filled. Money from the program was used to fund climate mitigation work.
Jay Ford, Virginia policy manager for the Chesapeake Bay Foundation, said the state saw many benefits when it was part of RGGI.
"We were reducing fossil fuel emissions that were being created here in Virginia," Ford pointed out. "There were some clear reductions as a result of our participation. So, we're improving air quality and we are helping expedite that transition to a clean economy."
Virginia residents mostly favored staying in RGGI, but Youngkin has said the reason for pulling out was in his view, it was a "hidden tax" for ratepayers. Ford estimated homeowners paid around $2 a month from their electric bills for RGGI and argued the trade-offs were worth it.
Between 2021 and 2023, RGGI revenue generated around $828 million for Virginia. Ford thinks not rejoining the initiative could slow down Virginia's ability to reach the Clean Economy Act's climate goals, and warned other effects could be costly to communities.
"On the ground in communities around the state, if we don't get back into RGGI, there's a real potential that the work to prepare the Commonwealth, and prepare our communities for climate impacts, could grind to a halt," Ford contended.
Virginia used RGGI money to help towns and cities fund their climate resilience plans. The state used 25-million RGGI dollars to establish a Climate Resilience Fund. There have been 107 "billion-dollar disasters" since 1980 in Virginia, with long-term costs totaling between $20 billion and $50 billion.
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