Economists in Arizona and around the country said tariffs, cracking down on immigration, tax cuts and reduced energy credits will likely have a direct effect on the economy, and with President-elect Donald Trump soon to take office and having promised policy reform in many areas, change is likely on the way.

Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University, said if mass deportations are executed by the incoming Trump administration, it could spell trouble for a border state such as Arizona. One in six Arizona workers is an immigrant and industries within the state such as agriculture and construction depend on their labor, according to the American Immigration Council.

"If executed, to potentially cause shortfalls of labor in the agriculture space and also the food-manufacturing space," Miller outlined. "Then what implications could that have for prices that farmers and manufacturers are going to be charging and therefore going to get passed on to consumers."

A June study by the Peterson Institute for International Economics found deporting millions of undocumented workers would result in years of subsequent inflation. With the economy having been the number one issue for so many voters in Arizona and around the nation, expectations are high for Trump to deliver on lower prices and economic stability.

Miller pointed out the U.S. economy seems to be experiencing what he calls "some good tailwinds," but added proposed tariffs could be among the things to change it. He added one of the sectors remaining steady throughout last year was the automotive industry.

"November's sales for motor vehicles were phenomenally strong for light trucks and SUVs," Miller noted. "It was on a seasonally adjusted basis, the third-highest month of all time."

Miller emphasized on a unit sale basis, which refers to the actual number of individual products sold during a time period, vehicle sales still have not bounced back to pre-pandemic levels, as people are choosing to buy more expensive vehicles, such as trucks and SUVs, but far fewer passenger cars. He added with interest rates coming down, it could help drive sales numbers back up.


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An Indiana-based summit meeting will spotlight how university campuses can help power economic growth across the state.

Indiana University hosts its first Economic Development Summit on August 12. The daylong event will bring together IU leaders, business owners and government officials to explore new partnerships, and look at how some collaborations already in place are working.

Michael Huber, vice president of university relations at Indiana University, said the summit will highlight ways different campuses fuel local development.

"Each Indiana University campus has got different strengths," Huber pointed out. "We're hoping if you're an elected official -- maybe someone from the private sector who already works with IU, or has new solutions for IU -- you're going to be able to come to this conference and see what IU is doing across the state."

Huber hopes the event will help build new statewide partnerships. IU officials said economic growth depends on collaboration. The summit is open to anyone and includes topics like small business growth, workforce development and innovation.

Ken Iwama, vice president of regional campuses and online education at IU, said bringing all the right voices together can spark something bigger.

"To have them come together in one space, you end up sparking and igniting new ideas and new collaborations," Iwama emphasized. "Universities can't do it alone, nonprofits can't do it alone, economic development associates, business can't do it alone. I'm hoping to see that type of energy happen in this particular summit."

Attendees will also hear about current programs to boost career fields, from health care and manufacturing, to bioscience and teaching.


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Women who recently graduated from college are earning significantly less than their male counterparts.

A new study revealed women from Pennsylvania and other states who earned bachelor's degrees within the past seven years earn an average of 18% less than similarly-educated men. Research from the National Association of Colleges and Employers found segregated work environments are the main reason for the disparity.

Mary Gatta, director of research and public policy for the association and co-author of the report, said the problem is so prevalent, job analysts gave it a formal title.

"Some of that, as we see in our survey, is attributed to men and women working in different industries and different types of work," Gatta explained. "We called it 'occupational sex segregation.'"

The Early Career Talent Survey interviewed 1,400 professionals who graduated between 2017 and 2023, including about 500 men and 900 women. It found the gap brings financial challenges for women, who are more likely to have student loans but are less confident of their ability to repay them.

Despite financial disparities, career satisfaction was similar between genders among early-career professionals. Both men and women share comparable views on the speed of their career progression, although they cited different factors affecting their advancement.

Gatta noted it can cause long-term problems.

"The pay gap continues as women continue in their careers, with less money they are paying into Social Security, it's less money they are putting into their retirement," Gatta emphasized. "It has immediate impacts around economic security but also economic security as we age."

Nearly three-quarters of men surveyed work for private-sector companies, while just over half of women do. It found 30% of women work for nonprofits, where compensation is typically lower than in private industries. Gatta argued women need to gain more opportunities to explore nontraditional roles.

"The importance of helping introduce women and men to atypical occupations is really important," Gatta stressed. "Introducing women to STEM at an early age, getting that career exploration, we know that is important in helping to break some of that."

Support for this reporting was provided by Lumina Foundation.


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Groups opposed to NorthWestern Energy's latest rate-hike proposal plan to rally on Monday in Helena.

In an unusual move, the utility giant used a legal loophole to increase electric rates for its Montana customers without approval, just weeks before it was scheduled to argue for approval. Montana's Public Service Commission regulates utilities, including NorthWestern, which serves two-thirds of the state.

After the Public Service Commission failed to act within nine months of a request, NorthWestern announced a 17% rate increase, or more than $200 a year per customer.

Dick Maney, a resident of Butte, said while Montanans elect Public Service Commission members, he worries the commission is not always acting on the consumers' behalf.

"That is the problem," Maney asserted. "I don't think it has a lot to do with NorthWestern Energy. I think it has a lot to do with the regulators on the outside, not on the inside of the company."

The move follows a 28% rate increase in 2023 and precedes arguments starting Monday for another 20% increase. The Monday rally to oppose the hikes is being hosted by a coalition of groups: Montana Conservation Voters, Families for a Livable Climate, Forward Montana, Big Sky 55+, Montana Health Professionals for a Healthy Climate, Montana Sierra Club and Helena Interfaith Climate Advocates.

Maney noted the rate increases are troublesome on top of the many other increasing costs of living in the state. For example, the median residential property in 2023 saw a 21% higher tax bill than the previous year, according to the Montana Free Press.

"We have to deal with property taxes, which have increased substantially over the last couple of years and that is really affecting everyone," Maney pointed out. "An increase in electricity affects us a lot."

In the final days of the legislative session, state lawmakers passed property tax relief measures for most Montanans by raising taxes on second homes.


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