As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take office, economists are weighing in on how his promised policies might shape what's ahead in 2025.

Economists pointed to tariffs, the stock market, electric vehicles, agriculture and education as key issues for this year.

Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University, predicted the tariffs Trump has promised will take center stage. He also pointed to signs of a positive tailwind.

"Retailers have entered the holidays with inventory sort of in line with demand conditions," Miller observed. "November sales for motor vehicles were phenomenally strong for light trucks and SUVs. It was, on a seasonably adjusted basis, the third-highest month of all time."

Miller expected importers will stockpile Chinese goods to avoid tariffs but past tariffs failed to create jobs and instead, drove up costs, raising prices for consumers.

Miller projected the first major supply chain story this year could unfold as early as Jan. 15, involving the International Longshoremen's Association. He noted the East Coast and Gulf port contracts are set to expire, raising the threat of more port strikes.

"We may see port strike, Round 2," Miller emphasized. "No one is clear yet on how the incoming Trump administration would respond to that. Would they invoke the Taft-Hartley Act to end that strike, or would they let that play out?"

He added they are also monitoring extreme weather events similar to the polar vortex back in 2018, which could have a substantial effect on the economy.


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An Indiana-based summit meeting will spotlight how university campuses can help power economic growth across the state.

Indiana University hosts its first Economic Development Summit on August 12. The daylong event will bring together IU leaders, business owners and government officials to explore new partnerships, and look at how some collaborations already in place are working.

Michael Huber, vice president of university relations at Indiana University, said the summit will highlight ways different campuses fuel local development.

"Each Indiana University campus has got different strengths," Huber pointed out. "We're hoping if you're an elected official -- maybe someone from the private sector who already works with IU, or has new solutions for IU -- you're going to be able to come to this conference and see what IU is doing across the state."

Huber hopes the event will help build new statewide partnerships. IU officials said economic growth depends on collaboration. The summit is open to anyone and includes topics like small business growth, workforce development and innovation.

Ken Iwama, vice president of regional campuses and online education at IU, said bringing all the right voices together can spark something bigger.

"To have them come together in one space, you end up sparking and igniting new ideas and new collaborations," Iwama emphasized. "Universities can't do it alone, nonprofits can't do it alone, economic development associates, business can't do it alone. I'm hoping to see that type of energy happen in this particular summit."

Attendees will also hear about current programs to boost career fields, from health care and manufacturing, to bioscience and teaching.


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Women who recently graduated from college are earning significantly less than their male counterparts.

A new study revealed women from Pennsylvania and other states who earned bachelor's degrees within the past seven years earn an average of 18% less than similarly-educated men. Research from the National Association of Colleges and Employers found segregated work environments are the main reason for the disparity.

Mary Gatta, director of research and public policy for the association and co-author of the report, said the problem is so prevalent, job analysts gave it a formal title.

"Some of that, as we see in our survey, is attributed to men and women working in different industries and different types of work," Gatta explained. "We called it 'occupational sex segregation.'"

The Early Career Talent Survey interviewed 1,400 professionals who graduated between 2017 and 2023, including about 500 men and 900 women. It found the gap brings financial challenges for women, who are more likely to have student loans but are less confident of their ability to repay them.

Despite financial disparities, career satisfaction was similar between genders among early-career professionals. Both men and women share comparable views on the speed of their career progression, although they cited different factors affecting their advancement.

Gatta noted it can cause long-term problems.

"The pay gap continues as women continue in their careers, with less money they are paying into Social Security, it's less money they are putting into their retirement," Gatta emphasized. "It has immediate impacts around economic security but also economic security as we age."

Nearly three-quarters of men surveyed work for private-sector companies, while just over half of women do. It found 30% of women work for nonprofits, where compensation is typically lower than in private industries. Gatta argued women need to gain more opportunities to explore nontraditional roles.

"The importance of helping introduce women and men to atypical occupations is really important," Gatta stressed. "Introducing women to STEM at an early age, getting that career exploration, we know that is important in helping to break some of that."

Support for this reporting was provided by Lumina Foundation.


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Groups opposed to NorthWestern Energy's latest rate-hike proposal plan to rally on Monday in Helena.

In an unusual move, the utility giant used a legal loophole to increase electric rates for its Montana customers without approval, just weeks before it was scheduled to argue for approval. Montana's Public Service Commission regulates utilities, including NorthWestern, which serves two-thirds of the state.

After the Public Service Commission failed to act within nine months of a request, NorthWestern announced a 17% rate increase, or more than $200 a year per customer.

Dick Maney, a resident of Butte, said while Montanans elect Public Service Commission members, he worries the commission is not always acting on the consumers' behalf.

"That is the problem," Maney asserted. "I don't think it has a lot to do with NorthWestern Energy. I think it has a lot to do with the regulators on the outside, not on the inside of the company."

The move follows a 28% rate increase in 2023 and precedes arguments starting Monday for another 20% increase. The Monday rally to oppose the hikes is being hosted by a coalition of groups: Montana Conservation Voters, Families for a Livable Climate, Forward Montana, Big Sky 55+, Montana Health Professionals for a Healthy Climate, Montana Sierra Club and Helena Interfaith Climate Advocates.

Maney noted the rate increases are troublesome on top of the many other increasing costs of living in the state. For example, the median residential property in 2023 saw a 21% higher tax bill than the previous year, according to the Montana Free Press.

"We have to deal with property taxes, which have increased substantially over the last couple of years and that is really affecting everyone," Maney pointed out. "An increase in electricity affects us a lot."

In the final days of the legislative session, state lawmakers passed property tax relief measures for most Montanans by raising taxes on second homes.


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