Según recientes sondeos de The New York Times y Siena College, el presidente Biden va por detrás del expresidente Donald Trump en cinco de los seis estados más disputados, uno de los cuales es Arizona.

En el estado del Gran Cañón, Trump aventaja a Biden en cinco puntos porcentuales.

Elaine Kamarck, del Instituto Brookings, dice que, a pesar de que las encuestas muestran que Biden está perdiendo terreno, agravado por su índice de aprobación desfavorable, ¿eso significa que los votantes no votarán por él y por otros demócratas en las próximas elecciones?

Dice que no es una respuesta sencilla.

"Tal vez no haya relación entre la popularidad del presidente y el voto en las urnas," dice Kamarck. "Los votantes votan por cosas muy diferentes quizá porque tenemos una cultura "centrada en el presidente", tal vez nos equivoquemos todo el tiempo."

Mientras que el sondeo de The New York Times y Siena College, incluía a poco más de 3,600 votantes registrados en los seis estados, Kamarck afirma que otros sondeos estatales, que infunden temor a muchos demócratas, están compuestos sólo por unos 600 participantes, que según ella, probablemente no comprenden la totalidad de las preferencias y verdaderas actitudes de los votantes.

Kamarck dice que, al observar las elecciones especiales de 2021, las intermedias de 2022 y las elecciones más recientes de este año, la impopularidad del presidente Biden no tiene mucho que ver con los votos democráticos.

Sostiene que los demócratas "superaron las expectativas" en los tres años y aumentaron sus márgenes.

Dice que el aborto es un gran motivador para los votantes demócratas. Arizona es uno de varios estados que analizan una posible propuesta de medida sobre el derecho al aborto en las elecciones del próximo año, lo que podría aumentar las posibilidades de los demócratas.

"Cuando el derecho a elegir está en el centro de la agenda, el aborto es una motivación increíblemente poderosa," asegura Kamarck. "Creo que en toda mi vida política, que ha sido bastante larga, es probablemente el mayor impulso que he visto, en verdad."

Arizona por el Acceso al Aborto cuenta con el apoyo de una coalición de defensores de los derechos reproductivos que actualmente trabajan para conseguir cerca de 400,000 firmas de votantes de Arizona antes de julio del próximo año.

Actualmente, el aborto es legal en Arizona hasta las 15 semanas, sin excepciones por violación o incesto. La ley contempla una excepción para salvar la vida de una madre embarazada.

El apoyo para este informe fue proporcionado por The Carnegie Corporation of New York.



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Texas lawmakers will return to Austin on July 21 for a special legislative session called by Gov. Greg Abbott.

The 18 items on the agenda include redrawing congressional maps. Redistricting usually occurs every 10 years, following the census, but Abbott added the item to the agenda after the Department of Justice drew attention to four Democratic seats.

Christina Sanders, founder of the nonprofit PoliChic Engagement Fund, said Texas maps are already caught up in litigation.

"Some of the court cases that are still even pending from the maps that have not been drawn fairly and the potential impact of new maps in the middle of a census cycle," Sanders explained.

The Biden administration sued Texas, alleging the state's legislative and congressional district maps discriminate against Latino and Black voters. The Justice Department, under President Donald Trump, withdrew from the lawsuit earlier this year.

The seats targeted by the Justice Department are held by Rep. Al Green, D-Texas, Rep. Sylvia Garcia, D-Texas, and Rep. Marc Veasey, D-Texas. They are also focused on the vacant seat previously held by late Congressman Sylvester Turner. Following the 2023 legislative session, Abbott called four special sessions to pass a school voucher bill, which failed.

Sanders feels Abbott is using special sessions to push personal agendas.

"A special session would be for something like the flood that just occurred," Sanders argued. "It would be something that there is an emergency -- something immediate needs to happen at this moment -- because this policy for the state cannot wait."

Flood warning systems and communication are also on the agenda, along with hemp and THC legislation and changes to the State of Texas Assessments of Academic Readiness test.

With the Independence Day holiday weekend here, North Dakotans might be out at parades, fireworks shows and barbecues. However, new polling indicates that many Americans are struggling to feel optimistic about the state of the country.

A new Gallup survey shows 58% of U.S. adults say they're proud to be an American. While there are some partisan splits, the overall percentage is a record low for the annual poll question.

Barbara Headrick, president of the League of Women Voters of North Dakota, said it's not surprising, given the sharp divides between the two major parties. But she feels there's something else at play.

"There is still an after effect, I believe, from the pandemic from that separation from each other that we had," she said.

That the pandemic was so politicized is another complicating factor that prevented the country from healing, Headrick said, adding that it's understandable some Americans are very concerned about various rights being taken away. However, she noted the U.S. has deep flaws throughout its history, and there are still many more rights afforded today than in past decades.

If heated rhetoric clouding U.S. politics has got you down, Headrick said, you can still show American pride through actions.

"Find a way to love your country by making it better," she said.

Headrick said it can involve showing support for civil workers or volunteering at a local homeless or animal shelter. She added that expressing pride through elections doesn't just involve voting, noting that there are opportunities to stay informed about how your local government is addressing pressing issues, such as affordable housing.


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A new Indiana law, starting today, allows school board candidates to list their political affiliation on the ballot.

Candidates may choose to register with a political party, as independents or not disclose any affiliation. Those who do not select will have a blank space next to their name and straight-ticket voting will not apply to school board races. Those opposed to the new law said it injects unnecessary politics into a role traditionally focused on education.

Leslie Jacobs, a school board member for the Fayette County School Corporation in Connersville, is against the new law.

"In my 10 years, I couldn't tell you the political leanings of anybody on my board. Never comes up," Jacobs explained. "Our discussions are purely about educational opportunities, picking a superintendent, looking at budget."

She warned requiring party labels might discourage qualified candidates from running. Supporters of the new law said it increases transparency.

Jennifer Blackburn, a school board member for the East Allen County Schools near Fort Wayne, also opposes the new law.

"The scenario that there are four candidates potentially running and three are Democrat, one is a Republican -- this last school board election -- none of us were opposed," Blackburn pointed out. "As big as our county is, there are not a lot of people running."

The law will first affect school board elections in November.


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